NCAAF
7:00 PM EST.
Spread: WKU +4 / JVST -4.
ML: WKU +160 / JVST -190.
Over/Under: 58.5.
Free Pick: Jacksonville State -4
Jacksonville State and Western Kentucky's last game was against each other, and Western Kentucky won on a game-winning field goal at home 19-17. This week, expect the score to be much different, as these teams failed to find the endzone even though they combined for 754 yards. While yards not leading to scores has been the norm for Western Kentucky this year, it has been the opposite for Jax State. Western Kentucky is ranked 53rd at generating quality drives but sits 73rd in points per quality drive. As for Jax State, they rank 69th in quality drives but are extremely efficient being 14th in points per quality drive. This efficiency is a product of having the third-best rushing attack and 7th fastest tempo which take a major toll on the defenses they face. It showed last week when they rushed for 229 yards averaging 5.3 yards per carry. Expect more of the same from Western Kentucky's 122nd-ranked rushing defense. Jacksonville State's starting QB left the game halfway into the 3rd quarter and they went 2/13 on third downs. Expect Jax State to play more efficient football like their fans are used to seeing this year and for Western Kentucky to struggle to find the same success moving the ball as Jax State adjusts their defensive gameplan at home.
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