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Western Kentucky vs Jacksonville State CFB Free Pick, Odds, Preview, Prediction (10/17/23)

CFB

(10/17/23) 7:30PM Eastern.

Spread: WKU -7.5 / JSU +7.5

ML: WKU-320 / JSU +260

Over/Under 58.

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Free Pick: WKU/JSU Over 58.


Western Kentucky can score and in bunches. They rank 2nd in Conference USA averaging 32.2 points per game. If you exclude their 2 games against Troy and Ohio State they average 39.75 points per game. Ohio State for the obvious reasons but Troy's also a level above them. The Sun Belt conference is better than Conference USA and Troy ranks 10th in CFB letting up just 15.3 PPG. There's just a talent gap but they still managed to score 24 on them.


Jacksonville State has allowed 28+ in each of their last 3 games and all against fellow Conference USA teams. They've allowed a combined 1,420 total yards in those games. They played Liberty last week but in the other 2 games it was Middle Tennessee (22.2 Points Per Game) and Sam Houston (11.2 PPG). Sam Houston ranks dead last in Conference USA and MTN 6th out of 9.


On the opposite side this WKU defense ranks dead last in Conference allowing 460.2 yards per game. They've let up 194 rushing YPG which plays right into the strength of this JSU offense that averages 204 rushing YPG. Only Liberty averages more rushing yards in Conference USA. Both of these teams will be able to move the football and the way they want to.


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