Major League Players Club MLB 4-5 Units (4/27/25)

MLB

3 Picks (11 Units).

1:40PM EST: Guardians ML -110 (4 Units).

BOS SP Bryan Bello allowed 1 ER on 5 IP in his 2025 debut last week. He walked 3, plunked 2, and gave up 4 hits. His xERA was 7.8. In 4 rehab starts between AA and AAA he had a 7.07 ERA. He simply isn't throwing the ball well. CLE SP Logan Allen has a 2.11 ERA with a Hard-Hit Rate in the top 10% of MLB. He's allowed just 1 earned run in his last 3 starts combined. The Guardians bullpen is also in better shape after yesterday's double-header. Cleveland had Thursday off as well as Friday.

1:40PM EST: Orioles Team Total Under 2.5 +120 (3 Units).

Baltimore's scored less than 3 runs in 4 of their last 6 games. They scored 3 runs exactly in the 2 others. Tarik Skubal is on the mound and he's coming off a not-so-great performance against the Royals. He only allowed 2 runs but went just 5 innings. We cashed in on KC +180 that day and covered how they've simply had his number. He's not one to have back-to-back mediocre starts, especially at Home. The Orioles are dead last in BA, SLG, and OPS vs LHP. They average a HR every 80.67 at bats against Lefties (29th). Skubal's arguably the best LHP in the game today and stringing hits together to score runs against him rarely happens.

3:10PM EST: Rockies ML +115 (4 Units) VOID.

CIN SP Nick Lodolo struggles at Home and pitches well on the road. He struggles at Home because of the hitter friendly confines of Great America Ballpark. The problem for him today is that Coors Field is even more hitter friendly and there’s great hitting weather. Looking at 80° with 15+ MPH winds blowing straight out to Center. He's a Lefty and the miserable Rockies offense is at least 16th in OPS vs LHP. He's also never pitched at Coors field before. The Reds bullpen has been taxed and will be without a couple of their best relievers today.

COL SP Ryan Feltner has continued to pitch very well since the 2nd half of last season. He had that one ugly start on the road against the Dodgers but has allowed 2ER or less in each of his 4 other starts this season. He allowed 1 Run on 7 IP his last time out. He also has a 2.45 ERA in 2 Starts at Coors Field this year. Going back to last year he's allowed 2 ER or less in 9 of his last 10 starts at Coors Field. Those are ridiculous numbers for the venue.