Major League Players Club MLB 1-5 Units (8/27/24)

MLB

4 Picks.

6:40PM EST: Pirates ML +105 (3 Units).

CHC SP Justin Steele has a 6.44 ERA in 8 career games against the Pirates, and that's despite 7 scoreless innings in his first ever start against them in 2021. He's faced PIT twice this season, allowing 6 runs @ PIT and 5 Runs at Home. PIT SP Jared Jones has a 2.17 ERA in 9 starts at Home this season. He's also recorded a quality start in both starts against Chicago this year.

7:10PM EST: TOR/BOS Over 9.5 (2 Units).

TOR SP Yariel Rodriguez has a 4.99 ERA in 9 road starts. He has 8 more walks on the road compared to at Home on just 3 more outs. He gave up 5 runs at Home in his most recent start and 4 runs on the road the start before that. BOS SP Cooper Criswell has bounced between bullpen and starter. He allowed 1 run on 4.2 IP @ Houston his last time out. Game prior he gave up 6 runs on 3.1 IP in a long relief role. Neither of these starters are known for providing length and these are 2 bad bullpens. They're also heavily taxed after these 2 played a combined 16.2 innings yesterday.

8:40PM EST: Rockies Team Total Over 5.5 -120 (2 Units).

MIA SP Roddery Munoz has a 6.82 ERA over his last 7 starts and an 8.44 ERA in 4 August Starts. He's allowed an opponent BA of .348 and has a 2.09 WHIP this Month. He's failed to complete 4 innings in 3 of his 4 August starts and he allowed 3 runs in 5 IP in the lone start that he did. The Miami bullpen isn't great, and they've used their top relievers each of the last 2 days. Warm, Humid, and 10MPH winds blowing out to LF at Coors. Rockies are poised to throw up a crooked number up tonight.

9:40PM EST: NYM/AZ Under 8.5 (3 Units).

Good pitching beats good hitting and NYM SP Sean Manaea has been dealing. He's pitched 7 innings exactly in 4 of his last 5 starts and hasn't allowed more than 3 runs in any of those 5. The Diamondbacks had been the top offense in baseball against LHP, but injuries have come into play. They're without Ketel Marte, Christian Walker, and catcher Gabby Moreno. Marte has a 1.111 OPS vs LHP this season. Walker was having a down year power wise vs LHP but still hit .272 with a .765 OPS. And Moreno had a .293 BA vs LHP. They're still a solid lineup but Marte and Walker are their 2 most important bats. AZ SP Brandon Pfaadt has a 3.69 ERA in 11 Home Starts. He's allowed 2ER or less in 6 of those 11 starts.