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1 Pick.


2:10PM EST: CLE/MIL F5 Over 4.5 (2 Units).


CLE SP Ben Lively allowed 3 runs across 3.2 IP his last time out and 4 runs on 5 IP the start before that. He's also surrendered 2 Homeruns in each of his last 2 starts and Milwaukee's ballpark is 6th in HR factor, 13 points above average. MIL SP Colin Rea has a 4.26 ERA at Home and just got hammered for 7 runs in his most recent start against the Dodgers. He's now allowed 6 Homeruns and 9 runs in his last 2 Home starts combined. On the season he's allowed 15 Homeruns at Home compared to just 5 on the road.


It's also Hot with over 70% Humidity and 15+ MPH winds blowing out to right field. The Ball will carry well today. With 2 exceptional bullpens the scoring could very well stop as soon as the starters come out. The bullpens have allowed a combined 3 runs on 13 IP through the first 2 games of this series and all 3 runs came off one of Milwaukee's worst relievers as they led 5-0 at the time.

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