NFL
(10/3/22) 8:15 PM Eastern.
Spread: Rams +2 / 49ers -2
Moneyline: Rams +110 / 49ers -130
Total: Over / Under 42.5
Monday Night Football features an NFC championship game rematch between the SF 49ers and LA Rams. The NFC West division rivals face off at Levi’s stadium, kickoff is scheduled for 8:15p.m. eastern time.
LA Rams (2-1)
Matthew Stafford and the Rams passing attack is off to a sluggish start in 2022. Cooper Kupp continues to dominate, reeling in 28 passes for 280 yards and 3 touchdowns through 3 games but that’s about it for the LA receiving core. The addition of Allen Robinson has been disappointing. Through 3 games he has just 7 catches for 88 yards, him and Stafford just appear out of sync. The ground game has also been a mystery in LA. Darrell Henderson got all the work in week 1, then he was quickly relegated to back-up duties in week 2 and 3. They currently rank 29th in rushing yards a game and that won’t get any easier with their starting center and starting guard set to miss this game due to injury.
The defense may not look as dominant as last year but they’re still very good. After a poor performance in week 1 against the Bills they played much better against the Falcons in week 2. They allowed just 17 points on defense while securing 3 takeaways. They played their best game last week, holding the Cardinals the just 12 points. The Cardinals moved the ball a bit but couldn’t punch it in the endzone, they had to settle for 4 field goals. They are banged up in the secondary, CBs David Long Jr and Cobie Durant won’t play due to injury.
SF 49ers (1-2)
Jimmy Garoppolo took over for an injured Trey Lance in week 2 and led San Fran to a win over Seattle but the 49ers offense looked ugly against Denver last week. They mustered just 267 total yards in the 11-10 loss. They went just 1/10 on third downs and turned the ball over 3 times. Jimmy also stepped out of the back out of the endzone for a safety early in the 3rd quarter. Jeff Wilson had a solid day as the lead back, rushing for 75 yards on 12 carries. The loss of Trent Williams is a massive blow to their offensive line.
Three weeks in this SF defense is the best in football. They’re allowing just 12.3 points per game and 227 total yards per game, both rank 1st in the NFL. Despite an offense that struggles to move the ball and hold onto it (SF is 30th in time of possession), they continue to shut down opposing offenses. They have an elite defensive line once again, led by Nick Bosa and his 4 sacks. Javon Kinlaw and Arik Armstead form one of the best interior DL duos in football. A large reason why they rank 2nd in rushing yards allowed per game.
The Pick
Cam Akers Under 42.5 rushing yards. The Rams rushing attack has been terrible in 2022 and now they face the #1 defense in football. The Rams rank 29th in rushing yards per game and on top of that their backfield carries have been split; Akers has 30 carries to Henderson’s 27. They’re down two starting interior offensive linemen tonight too, Center and Guard. This SF defense ranks 2nd in rush yards allowed per game and has one of the best defensive lines in all of football. They also shut down the Rams rushing attack last year, and that was a much better Rams offensive line. In 3 games against SF last year the Rams ran for just 186 yards on 65 attempts, a measly 2.9 yards per carry. The Rams also rank dead last in Time of Possession this year and SF is going to run and hold onto the ball. They had 341 yards rushing against LA in the 3 games last year and currently rank 7th in rush yards per game. Akers will have limited opportunities and won’t find much room when he does.