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Gridiron Player Club NCAAF 1-5 Units (11/9/24)


NCAAF


3 Picks.


12PM EST: Texas -21 (5 Units).


Florida lost starting QB Graham Mertz earlier in the season and now DJ Lagway is dealing with a hamstring injury. He's a game-time decision but they're in trouble either way. A lot of what makes the Florida offense go with Lagway are his legs and rushing threat and even if he plays, he won't have that. If he doesn't go it's Freshman QB Aidan Warner who went 7 for 22 at Home against Georgia last week. Tall order going on the road in Texas for your first career start.


Defensively the Gators aren't anything special. Good football teams haven't had issues scoring on them. Georgia scored 34 last week, A&M 33, and Miami 41. Texas is also poised to blow the doors off here. They won a tight one on the road at Vandy in their last game. Game prior to that was their most recent home game and they lost 15-30 to Georgia. The last win at Home came back on September 28th. Coming off a Bye Week Sark should have this Longhorns offense firing and this is an offense that needs to get their swagger back. Florida's lack of offense should present Texas with some short fields here too.


12PM EST: Georgia Tech +10.5 (3 Units).


Haynes King is going to return for this game and that makes GT an entirely different football team. Through 7 games he's completed 71.2% of his passes for 8 touchdowns and 1 Interception. The Yellow Jackets defense isn't great, but it hasn't been terrible either. They have yet to allow more than 34 points but that likely gets tested here today. Regardless they're able to play complimentary football with King at QB. This plays really about Miami's lack of defense. They've played 5 conference games and have allowed 31, 14, 45, 38, and 34 points. The 14 was a 36-14 win over the ever-terrible Florida State team. Georgia Tech's also coming off a bye week here and they'll pull out all the stops to upset the top team in the conference. Like them to hang around and keep it close.


12PM EST: Ohio State -37.5 (4 Units).


Ohio State's offense looked terrible at Penn State a week ago and was not so great at Home against Nebraska the week before that. The public's actually betting Purdue to Cover because of it and that's a total overreaction. Penn State has one of the best defenses in the Country and they had the Home crowd behind them. Those marquee matchups are incredibly physical, and refs simply don't make as many calls. This is just a rough spot for Purdue to be in. OSU's another offense that needs their swagger back in a big way. Purdue found themselves in a similar spot at Home when they played Notre Dame after they had lost to Northern Illinois. The Irish blew the doors off 66-7. In 3 road games Purdue's allowed 50 to Illinois, 52 to Wisconsin, and 38 to Oregon State. Their offense has been held to 10 points or less in half of their games this season. Ohio State's defense just dominated Penn State's offense, holding them to just 6 points. 7 of Penn's 13 came off a Pick 6. This one should be ugly, and we don't expect Ryan Day to throttle it down until very late. Their 2nd string’s also better than Purdue's starters.

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