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Courtside Players Club NCAAB 4-5 Units (3/8/25)


NCAAB


5 Picks (19 Units).


12PM EST: Marquette -4 (5 Units).


St. John's has already locked up the Big East and a top seed in the NCAA Tournament. They still have seeding to play for, but this is a significantly more important game for the Eagles and It's a tough spot for the Red Storm. St. John's has really struggled offensively and have dropped down to 70th in Offensive Rating. Marquette has one of the best defenses in the Country and they're much better at Home, forcing turnovers on 23.4% of opponent possessions. It's a Home Court advantage that will be very strong for this one. They haven't played at Home in nearly 2 weeks, it's the final home game of the season, and they're hosting the #1 team in the Conference, a team they battled against on the road a Month ago. It's a good match-up and an even better spot.


12PM EST: Mizzu -6.5 (3 Units).


The Tigers can light it up offensively and hosting Kentucky's miserable defense and up-tempo style of play is a great spot for it. At Home Mizzu's 3rd in the nation in FG% and they shoot just a tick below 40% from Deep. Kentucky doesn't do a bad job defending the 3-PT Line but they're 282nd in opponent 2-PT % at 53.5% and that climbs to 57.6% on the road. Missouri attacks the basket as well as any team in the Country and they get to the line because of it. Mizzu leads the nation in Free throws per possession and Kentucky's 204th in opponent free throws attempted per game. Kentucky's offense is of course good enough to score on anybody, but the Tigers are a much better defense at Home. They allow teams to shoot 48.2% on the road but just 41.2% at Home. When they hosted Alabama a few weeks ago, a very similar team to Kentucky, they won 110-98 in regulation. Again, the final home game of the season hosting a blue blood. It's going to be a nuthouse.


2:30PM EST: Alabama/Auburn Over 178.5 (4 Units).


When these two met a few weeks back Auburn won 94-85 in Alabama. The Tigers defense "won" and held Alabama to 38.6% from the floor. Despite their miserable shooting performance, the tide still managed to put up 85 points. Auburn is elite defensively but the Tide's seen plenty of elite defenses and scored all the same. Auburn's 130th in tempo but with an offense that's first in offensive rating they've shown they're more than willing to embrace pace. The over is 8-2 in their last 10 games. Auburn has already locked up the SEC but they're coming off an ugly road loss to Texas A&M. Their offense struggled against an elite aggies defense. Added sense of purpose and you can Guarantee they show out in their final home game against their in-state rivals. A Win here goes a very long way to locking up a 1 seed for the NCAA Tournament.


4:30PM EST: Kansas -4 (4 Units).


Kansas is a team hurting for some wins, losing two straight and 4 of their last 6. 3 of those 4 losses have come on the road where they have really struggled. Their last two were also very close losses against Houston and Texas Tech, two of the best teams in the Country. Arizona is good but we wouldn't put them with the likes of Houston and Tech. Arizona is 289th in 3-PT % at 31.6% and that dips to 28.1% on the road. They have to score at the rim, especially on the road, and that's where the Jayhawks 6th ranked defense excels. With Hunter Dickinson protecting the rim teams shoot just 45.4% from inside the 3-PT line against Kansas, the 10th best mark in the Country. Kansas is also 13th in opponent 3-PT % so it's not like there's a tradeoff. It's tough to see Arizona finding consistent points. Kansas's offense has certainly struggled at times, but Hunter Dickinson is a constant and this is his final Home game of his collegiate career. The supporting cast actually shot pretty well against Houston; Kansas just had 20 turnovers to Houston's 6. Fortunately, that isn't Arizona's defensive game.


10PM EST: Baylor +4.5 (3 Units).


Baylor's a respectable ball club that's had major road woes. They're 13-2 at Home and 3-9 on the Road. They've long held a unique home court advantage at the Foster Pavilion. This is the perfect spot for Baylor to get a win and guarantee a trip to the NCAA tournament. They're a projected 10 seed but a loss here and an early exit in the Big 12 tournament and things could get dicey. Houston's locked up the Big 12 and are all but guaranteed a 1 seed for the NCAA Tournament. It's a prime let down spot for the Cougars on the road with an abnormally late start time. They're also coming off a big win over Kansas. It may not be the typical dominant Jayhawks team but they're still the face of the Big 12 and one of the best teams in the Country.

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