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Courtside Players Club NCAAB 4-5 Units (2/19/25)

Updated: Feb 21


NCAAB


3 Picks (10 Units)


7PM EST: Vanderbilt vs Kentucky Over 162.5 (4 Units).

 

Kentucky's banged up and coming off a frustrating 78-82 loss at Texas because of it. They shot just 41.9% from the field and 25% from deep. Vandy at Home is just a much better spot and match-up for their shorthanded offense. Vandy is 79th in Defensive rating, 345th in opponent 3-PT %, and 63rd in Tempo. Kentucky's 4th in offensive rating and 30th in Tempo. They will be without one of their best 3-PT shooters but they're 22nd nationally in 3-PT shooting, it's not a one-man job. The loss of their primary ball handler will be somewhat negated by the tempo and spacing provided from good perimeter shooting. Vandy just doesn't have the defense, and Kentucky doesn't lack scoring depth. Defensively the wildcats are still terrible, sitting at 76th in defensive rating. Vanderbilt's also 26th in offensive rating and they just scored 76 on the road against the #1 defense in Basketball at Tennessee last Saturday. We see plenty of running and gunning in this one.

 

9PM EST: Alabama vs Missouri Over 171.5 (3 Units).


Alabama's 3rd in offensive rating and 1st in Pace and they dictate the flow of games everywhere they go. The last time they played on the road they dropped 103 points on Texas. They are coming off a 9-point loss at Home against Auburn and we like them to come out guns blazing because of it. That was just their 4th loss of the season. In 3 games following a loss they've scored 100 on Illinois, 94 on North Carolina, and 102 on Kentucky. Mizzu is 44th in defensing rating and right at league average in terms of pace but they're 11th in offensive rating. They can do it all offensively and Alabama's 39th ranked defense isn't going to be enough to stop them in their own House. Fully expect the Tigers to dive headfirst into Alabama's pace.

 

9PM EST: Auburn -15.5 (3 Units).


Arkansas has played some decent ball of late, but this is a rough match-up. The Razorbacks are 80th in offensive rating, 21st in defensive rating, and 153rd in rebound rate. We like to back these types of teams at home and fade them on the road. Auburn's 1st in offensive rating, 13th in defensive rating, and 38th in rebound rate. Arkansas's elite defense isn't good enough to stop Auburn and their offense is in for a long day. It's not like they'll be successful crashing the offensive glass on misses either. The Razorbacks are just 2-7 ATS away from home this season. Against weaker defensive teams they've hung in just fine, but it's been ugly otherwise. They've lost by 8 at A&M, 18 at Mizzu, 24 at Tennessee, and 23 on a neutral court for Illinois. Some good ball clubs but none of them as complete as Auburn. This is set up for a bit of a letdown spot for Auburn coming off that win over Alabama. With that win coming on the road and Auburn having lost their most recent home game, we don't see them falling asleep at the wheel here.

 

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