NCAAB
(2/21/23) 7:00 PM Eastern.
Spread: Baylor -1.5 / Kansas State +1.5
ML: Baylor -130 / Kansas State +110
Total: Over / Under 148.
The Pick: Kansas State +1.5.
The Wildcats are 14-1 SU and 11-4 ATS at home this season. Their one and only loss was a 69-66 defeat by #10 Texas. They beat Baylor in their own house in an Overtime thriller that ended 97-95 in early January despite struggling on the road this year. That’s because the wildcats match-up very well against the Bears. Baylor ranks 20th in 3-pointers made per game with the best trio of guards in the nation, but the Wildcats play exceptional perimeter defense. They held Baylor’s starting backcourt to 3/11 from deep in their previous meeting. They’re holding opponents to 28.9% from deep this season, the 11th best mark in the nation. That also drops down to 24.7% when playing at home too.
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Their first meeting was one of the few times Big 12 officials were overly active. Baylor had 38 FT attempts compared to Kansas State’s 21. Baylor averages 17.4 fouls per game while Kansas State averages 17.7. With the current state of Big 12 officiating, highly doubtful there’s 46 fouls called again. And if there is, they won’t favor Baylor so much in Ferrell Center. Of note, Baylor’s 4-4 on the road this season, and 2-2 last 4. Their last 2 road wins came by a total of just 6 points.
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